German Chancellor Angela Merkel has reportedly congratulated Olaf Scholz, the leader of the Social Democratic Party, on his party’s election success, a government spokesperson said Wednesday.
“The Chancellor on Monday congratulated Olaf Scholz on his election success,” the statement read, according to Reuters.
It’s the first time Merkel’s comments on the election outcome have been made public since Sunday. Preliminary results showed the Social Democratic Party had narrowly beat Merkel’s conservative union of the Christian Democratic Union and Christian Social Union.
With no clear majority for either the SPD or the CDU-CSU, however, both will now have to enter into what are expected to be long and drawn-out negotiations with Germany’s two main smaller parties — the Greens and the pro-business Free Democratic Party — about forming a three-party coalition government.
The result is a poor one for the CDU-CSU alliance, a political powerhouse that has dominated German politics for years.
Traditional allegiances and existing sympathies between the mainstream parties stand to complicate any coalition formation, with the Greens favoring a coalition with the SPD rather than the CDU-CSU, and the FDP favoring a coalition with the CDU-CSU rather than the SPD.
parliament if they combined forces, and indeed the parties have governed together in a co-called “grand coalition” in recent years, neither has much appetite to continue such an arrangement.
Read more: Social Democrats narrowly beat Angela Merkel’s alliance in historic German election
As it stands then, German voters could be waiting weeks or even months before a new government is in place. In the meantime, Merkel will remain as a caretaker chancellor; if she’s still in the role on December 17, she will be Germany’s longest-serving chancellor, ahead of Helmut Kohl.
Kings and kingmakers
Despite many Germany experts expecting coalition negotiations to be long and complex, the SPD’s chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz said on Monday that a coalition should be in place before Christmas.
The CDU’s leader, and the CDU-CSU’s candidate for chancellor, Armin Laschet conceded on Sunday that the election result was disappointing for the bloc, telling his supporters that “we cannot be satisfied with the results of the election,” according to a Reuters translation.
“We will do everything possible to build a conservative-led government because Germans now need a future coalition that modernizes our country,” he added.
Germany’s smaller parties, which come to coalition talks from a position of strength, are likely to extract concessions from their bigger counterparts in order to agree to any coalition deal. The Greens and FDP have already held initial discussions on Tuesday.
Analysts say this approach — where the smaller parties discuss between themselves their negotiating position before talking to the larger parties — is a novelty.
“This is a reversal from the historical norm, where the largest party instigates negotiations with smaller potential partners,” Matthew Oxenford, Europe analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said in a note Monday.
