estimates from the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation. Those households also may get money back from the IRS.
Even for taxpayers earning $75,000 to $100,000 in 2021, the average income tax rate paid will be 1.8%.
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“The main drivers for nonpayers are the [earned income tax credit] for lower earners and the child tax credit for families with children after accounting for the standard deduction,” said Garrett Watson, a senior policy analyst at the Tax Foundation.
For 2021, the standard deduction for individual tax filers is $12,550; for married couples filing jointly, it’s $25,100.
While having a zero tax bill is not a new phenomenon, it may be more pronounced this year due to a variety of temporary tax code changes, said Elaine Maag, principal research associate for the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.
In addition to the stimulus checks of up to $1,400 per adult and dependent that were authorized in the American Rescue Plan, several tax credits were expanded. They include the earned income tax credit and the child tax credit (see details below). Both credits are considered valuable, given that they are refundable — meaning that even if your tax bill is zero, you can get some or all of the credits refunded to you.
The congressional projections do not mean everyone earning less than $75,000 will pay nothing in taxes.
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“There are plenty of people in that income group that will owe taxes,” Maag said. “Those are the averages for everyone.”
Additionally, owing nothing to the IRS on your income doesn’t mean paying zero federal taxes.
For example, if you earn money from a job (versus from, say, investments), you pay taxes into Social Security and Medicare. Those so-called payroll taxes equate to 7.65%, which your employer withholds from your paycheck (and contributes the same amount — 7.65% — to those programs on your behalf).
If you are self-employed, you pay both shares yourself, or 15.3% (although you can deduct half of that elsewhere on your tax return).
ESTIMATED DISTRIBUTION OF 2021 INCOME TAXES
INDIVIDUAL INCOME PROJECTED AVERAGE INCOME TAX RATE, 2021
UNDER $75,000 <0%
$75,000-$100,000 1.80%
$100,000-$200,000 5.70%
$200,000-$500,000 13%
$500,000-$1 MIL 20.80%
OVER $1 MIL 25.80%
About 53% of Americans had an annual household income of less than $75,000 in 2019, according to the latest data from Statista. Median household income in the U.S. that year was about $68,700, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
“The group not paying federal income taxes in any given year tend to be moderate income with children, as well as older people, who may not have earnings that they are paying tax on,” Maag said.
As for details of the credits: The child tax credit is enhanced for 2021 in several ways, including by raising the per-child payment to $3,000 from $2,000 for families with income below certain thresholds (phase-outs begin at $75,000 for singles, $112,500 for heads of household and $150,000 for married couples), with an extra $600 for children under age 6. Children age 17 also qualify for the first time.
